The Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 9-11 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Graham Ashcraft has a 31% chance of a QS and Jordan Montgomery a 36% chance. If Graham Ashcraft has a quality start the Reds has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 47%. If Jordan Montgomery has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 67%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Graham Ashcraft who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 61% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Jordan Montgomery who averaged 3.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 81% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-10, 41% -355 | Record at Home | 9-11, 45% -386 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-0, 100% 79 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-1, 0% -100 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 12-9, 57% -11 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-3, 70% 236 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-3, 50% -97 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-5, 29% -297 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Jordan Montgomery Starts | 2-2, 50% 6 | When Graham Ashcraft Starts | 3-4, 43% -161 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% -55 | Record at Home | 6-8, 43% -290 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-0, 100% 79 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-1, 0% -100 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-6, 57% 75 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-1, 86% 340 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-3, 50% -97 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-5, 29% -297 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Jordan Montgomery Starts | 2-2, 50% 6 | When Graham Ashcraft Starts | 3-3, 50% -61 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-9, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-9, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-43, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Montgomery STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Graham Ashcraft STARTS | 5-1, 83% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-9, 47% -262 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 13-7, 65% +426 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-7, 50% -109 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 9-5, 64% +313
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 11-6, 65% +197 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 16-4, 80% +933 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 9-5, 64% +202 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 12-2, 86% +820
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-8, 50% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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