The Washington Nationals are 7-9 at home this season and the Baltimore Orioles are 11-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals starter Mitchell Parker is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Kyle Bradish. Mitchell Parker has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Bradish has a 25% chance of a QS. If Mitchell Parker has a quality start the Nationals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.5 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 51%. In Kyle Bradish quality starts the Orioles win 72%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Mitchell Parker who averaged 3.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Kyle Bradish who averaged 3.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-5, 69% 447 | Record at Home | 7-9, 44% 115 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-0, 100% 188 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 14-6, 70% 517 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% 169 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-5, 58% 61 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-8, 47% 215 | Washington Nationals |
| When Kyle Bradish Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Mitchell Parker Starts | 2-1, 67% 182 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-3, 77% 572 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% 256 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-0, 100% 188 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-7, 59% 226 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% 116 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-3, 67% 186 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-5, 50% 256 | Washington Nationals |
| When Kyle Bradish Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Mitchell Parker Starts | 2-1, 67% 182 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-33, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Bradish STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Mitchell Parker STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 11-5, 69% +8 Washington Nationals Home Games: 10-6, 62% +331 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-4, 69% +4 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-5, 50% +14
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-7, 56% +121 Washington Nationals Home Games: 8-8, 50% -347 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 7-6, 54% +42 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-5, 50% -233
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 7-9, 44% -290 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
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