The Atlanta Braves are 12-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 12-8 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Chris Sale is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta. Chris Sale has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nick Pivetta has a 22% chance of a QS. If Chris Sale has a quality start the Braves has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 63%. In Nick Pivetta quality starts the Red Sox win 65%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Chris Sale who averaged 3.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Nick Pivetta who averaged 3.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-8, 60% 458 | Record at Home | 12-4, 75% 190 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-0, 100% 58 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-14, 33% -618 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-2, 86% 463 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-7, 53% 257 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-4, 75% 190 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 3-1, 75% 187 | When Chris Sale Starts | 4-3, 57% -95 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% 78 | Record at Home | 9-4, 69% 63 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-0, 100% 58 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-12, 29% -704 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-1, 90% 457 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-4, 56% 178 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-4, 69% 63 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 2-0, 100% 216 | When Chris Sale Starts | 3-2, 60% -42 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-10, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-9, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 48-30, 62% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Sale STARTS | 2-5, 29% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 9-11, 45% -218 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-7, 56% -33 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-5, 50% +96 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-5, 62% +120
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 9-11, 45% -440 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 11-5, 69% +58 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-5, 50% -125 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-4, 69% +63
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 9-8, 53% + 20 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150
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