The New York Yankees are 12-5 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 5-11 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Spencer Arrighetti. Carlos Rodon has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Spencer Arrighetti has a 25% chance of a QS. If Carlos Rodon has a quality start the Yankees has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 67%. In Spencer Arrighetti quality starts the Astros win 62%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Houston Astros | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-11, 31% -788 | Record at Home | 12-5, 71% 275 | New York Yankees |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-5, 0% -500 | VS Houston Astros | 5-0, 100% 552 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-22, 27% -1596 | vs Team Under .500 | 14-7, 67% 469 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-1, 50% -7 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-5, 71% 275 | New York Yankees |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 1-2, 33% -121 | When Carlos Rodon Starts | 4-3, 57% 25 | New York Yankees |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Houston Astros | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-9, 31% -681 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 224 | New York Yankees |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Houston Astros | 1-0, 100% 85 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-16, 30% -1089 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-3, 70% 192 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-4, 71% 224 | New York Yankees |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 1-2, 33% -121 | When Carlos Rodon Starts | 2-3, 40% -175 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-10, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-42, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Arrighetti STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Carlos Rodon STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-8, 50% +37 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-7, 59% -89 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-7, 46% +22 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-6, 57% -140
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 10-6, 62% +218 New York Yankees Home Games: 11-6, 65% +96 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-5, 62% +110 New York Yankees Home Games: 9-5, 64% +45
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-5, 67% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 New York Yankees Home Games: 9-4, 69% + 460
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