The Pittsburgh Pirates are 8-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 8-13 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Martin Perez is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Jose Soriano. Martin Perez has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Soriano has a 25% chance of a QS. If Martin Perez has a quality start the Pirates has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 59%. In Jose Soriano quality starts the Angels win 66%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Martin Perez who averaged 3.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Jose Soriano who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-13, 38% -384 | Record at Home | 8-9, 47% -262 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-1, 50% 2 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -38 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-4, 50% 20 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-7, 53% 43 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-12, 40% -284 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-6, 45% -271 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Jose Soriano Starts | 1-4, 20% -250 | When Martin Perez Starts | 3-5, 38% -186 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-10, 33% -402 | Record at Home | 6-8, 43% -378 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-1, 50% 2 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -38 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-6, 25% -400 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-8, 38% -412 | Los Angeles Angels |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-9, 36% -302 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-6, 45% -271 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Jose Soriano Starts | 1-4, 20% -250 | When Martin Perez Starts | 1-5, 17% -372 | Los Angeles Angels |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-11, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-10, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-34, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jose Soriano STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS | 3-5, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 9-12, 43% -403 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 11-6, 65% +394 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-8, 47% -94 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-5, 64% +315
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 13-8, 62% +132 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 11-6, 65% +256 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-7, 53% -121 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-5, 64% +177
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 13-7, 65% + 530 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 11-5, 69% + 550 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670
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