The Chicago Cubs are 13-5 at home this season and the San Diego Padres are 11-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Hayden Wesneski has a 32% chance of a QS and Dylan Cease a 32% chance. If Hayden Wesneski has a quality start the Cubs has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 57%. If Dylan Cease has a quality start the Padres has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 64%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Hayden Wesneski who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Dylan Cease who averaged 3.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-8, 58% 312 | Record at Home | 13-5, 72% 577 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 3-2, 60% 38 | VS San Diego Padres | 2-3, 40% -92 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% 43 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-6, 67% 403 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-4, 50% -115 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-1, 86% 574 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Dylan Cease Starts | 4-3, 57% 1 | When Hayden Wesneski Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-6, 60% 274 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 279 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 3-2, 60% 38 | VS San Diego Padres | 2-3, 40% -92 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% -2 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-5, 62% 246 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-4, 50% -115 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-0, 100% 416 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Dylan Cease Starts | 4-1, 80% 201 | When Hayden Wesneski Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-9, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-6, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-39, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Dylan Cease STARTS | 3-4, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Hayden Wesneski STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-11, 42% -332 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-10, 44% -265 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-10, 33% -520 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-6, 50% -123
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-10, 47% -333 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 11-7, 61% +68 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-8, 47% -276 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-6, 50% -123
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-10, 41% -400 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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