The Philadelphia Phillies are 16-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 8-13 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Aaron Nola is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt. Aaron Nola has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chris Bassitt has a 19% chance of a QS. If Aaron Nola has a quality start the Phillies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 68%. In Chris Bassitt quality starts the Blue Jays win 61%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Aaron Nola who averaged 3.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Chris Bassitt who averaged 3.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 46% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-13, 38% -503 | Record at Home | 16-5, 76% 505 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-0, 100% 77 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-16, 41% -610 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-2, 67% 127 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-9, 36% -326 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-4, 76% 286 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Chris Bassitt Starts | 2-5, 29% -318 | When Aaron Nola Starts | 6-1, 86% 259 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -363 | Record at Home | 13-2, 87% 521 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-0, 100% 77 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-13, 43% -439 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-0, 100% 307 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -104 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-2, 86% 419 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Chris Bassitt Starts | 2-3, 40% -118 | When Aaron Nola Starts | 5-0, 100% 306 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-10, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-10, 52% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-8, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-42, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chris Bassitt STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Nola STARTS | 3-4, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-16, 24% -1097 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 14-7, 67% +285 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 1-10, 9% -803 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-3, 80% +452
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-12, 43% -524 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 15-6, 71% +293 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-8, 27% -563 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 13-2, 87% +521
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 11-8, 58% + 220 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-8, 60% + 320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-6, 57% + 140
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