The Boston Red Sox are 4-8 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 7-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Tanner Houck has a 50% chance of a QS and Hayden Wesneski a 48% chance. If Tanner Houck has a quality start the Red Sox has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 56%. If Hayden Wesneski has a quality start the Cubs has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Tyler O\'Neill who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Michael Busch who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 79 | Record at Home | 4-8, 33% -454 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 1-1, 50% -9 | VS Chicago Cubs | 1-1, 50% -6 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% 167 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-11, 42% -206 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 11 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-5, 29% -347 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Hayden Wesneski Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Tanner Houck Starts | 3-2, 60% 39 | Boston Red Sox |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 38-43, 47% -674 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -905 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 1-2, 33% -118 | VS Chicago Cubs | 2-1, 67% 105 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team Under .500 | 45-28, 62% 619 | vs Team .500 or Better | 51-55, 48% 159 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-24, 40% -412 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-24, 52% -627 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Hayden Wesneski Starts | 6-6, 50% -13 | When Tanner Houck Starts | 9-12, 43% -408 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-7, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hayden Wesneski STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Houck STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-6, 57% -84 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-8, 33% -418 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 45-36, 56% -143 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 34-47, 42% -1759
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-6, 57% +84 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 2-10, 17% -833 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 42-39, 52% -484 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 33-48, 41% -2384
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 37-33, 53% + 70 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 35-39, 47% -790
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