The Atlanta Braves are 10-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 11-4 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Bryce Elder is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Ben Lively. Bryce Elder has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ben Lively has a 29% chance of a QS. If Bryce Elder has a quality start the Braves has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 64%. In Ben Lively quality starts the Guardians win 66%. He has a 61% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Bryce Elder who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Ben Lively who averaged 3.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-4, 73% 757 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 74 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-1, 50% 50 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-1, 50% -51 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-6, 65% 635 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-6, 45% -304 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-2, 80% 754 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-4, 71% 74 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 1-1, 50% -7 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 1-0, 100% 50 | Atlanta Braves |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 34-47, 42% -1167 | Record at Home | 53-30, 64% -243 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -82 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 2-1, 67% 23 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 41-45, 48% 90 | vs Team .500 or Better | 56-36, 61% -31 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-29, 41% -421 | Record As Home Favorite | 53-30, 64% -243 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 2-4, 33% -264 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 21-11, 66% 258 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-8, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-7, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 48-30, 62% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 6-9, 40% -234 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-5, 64% +167 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 43-38, 53% +267 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 42-41, 51% -1047
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-10, 33% -625 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-5, 64% -58 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 47-34, 58% +302 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 53-30, 64% -185
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 40-34, 54% + 260 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 37-33, 53% + 70
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