April 28, 2024 10:29 AM CDT

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies 4/28/2024

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The Houston Astros are 4-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 5-9 at home. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Austin Gomber. Framber Valdez has a 18% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Austin Gomber has a 10% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 90% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 79%. In Austin Gomber quality starts the Rockies win 62%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Austin Gomber who averaged 2.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 39% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Framber Valdez who averaged 4.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 86% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 78% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies

Houston AstrosRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-10, 29% -732Record at Home5-9, 36% -193Colorado Rockies
VS Colorado Rockies1-0, 100% 47VS Houston Astros0-1, 0% -100Houston Astros
vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% -62vs Team Under .5006-12, 33% -318Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite3-10, 23% -825Record as Home Underdog5-9, 36% -193Colorado Rockies
When Framber Valdez Starts1-2, 33% -130When Austin Gomber Starts2-3, 40% -20Colorado Rockies

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies

Houston AstrosRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road56-30, 65% 1930Record at Home37-44, 46% 530Houston Astros
VS Colorado Rockies3-1, 75% 55VS Houston Astros1-3, 25% -116Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50048-29, 62% 86vs Team Under .50028-31, 47% 798Colorado Rockies
Record as Road Favorite26-17, 60% -57Record as Home Underdog33-34, 49% 1222Colorado Rockies
When Framber Valdez Starts20-18, 53% -462When Austin Gomber Starts12-14, 46% 362Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-7, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-42, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-36, 55% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS2-1, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Austin Gomber STARTS1-4, 20% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-7, 50% +137 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 4-10, 29% -497 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 41-45, 48% -1030 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 47-34, 58% +1892

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-6, 57% +89 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 9-5, 64% +47 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 41-45, 48% -1458 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 43-38, 53% -813

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Houston Astros Road Games: 39-34, 53% + 160 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 34-44, 44% -1440

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