April 28, 2024 10:29 AM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays 4/28/2024

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 9-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 6-5 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Michael Grove is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. Michael Grove has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kevin Gausman has a 41% chance of a QS. If Michael Grove has a quality start the Dodgers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 64%. In Kevin Gausman quality starts the Blue Jays win 62%. He has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Turner who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Mookie Betts who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 72% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-3, 75% 298Record at Home6-5, 55% -37Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Toronto Blue Jays2-0, 100% 208VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-2, 0% -200Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team Under .50014-6, 70% 183vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -317Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 144Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 61Los Angeles Dodgers
When Michael Grove Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Kevin Gausman Starts1-4, 20% -318Los Angeles Dodgers

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road47-35, 57% 224Record at Home43-38, 53% -906Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Toronto Blue Jays1-2, 33% -130VS Los Angeles Dodgers2-1, 67% 138Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better52-39, 57% 71vs Team .500 or Better43-52, 45% -1498Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog14-6, 70% 933Record As Home Favorite37-32, 54% -944Los Angeles Dodgers
When Michael Grove Starts5-6, 45% -217When Kevin Gausman Starts17-17, 50% -738Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-7, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON48-26, 65% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-44, 42% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Michael Grove STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS4-1, 80% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -342 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-5, 55% +100 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 43-39, 52% +281 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 47-34, 58% +871

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 8-4, 67% +88 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-5, 55% -46 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 38-44, 46% -1479 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -1306

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 32-33, 49% -430 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 30-31, 49% -410

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