April 28, 2024 10:29 AM CDT

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels 4/28/2024

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The Los Angeles Angels are 3-8 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 7-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels starter Reid Detmers is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Pablo Lopez. Reid Detmers has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Pablo Lopez has a 53% chance of a QS. If Reid Detmers has a quality start the Angels has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 59%. In Pablo Lopez quality starts the Twins win 65%. He has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Ryan Jeffers who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -63Record at Home3-8, 27% -464Minnesota Twins
VS Los Angeles Angels2-0, 100% 197VS Minnesota Twins0-2, 0% -200Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .5006-0, 100% 376vs Team .500 or Better3-14, 18% -1088Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite4-2, 67% 133Record as Home Underdog2-5, 29% -246Minnesota Twins
When Pablo Lopez Starts2-3, 40% -183When Reid Detmers Starts3-2, 60% 90Los Angeles Angels

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road41-42, 49% -491Record at Home37-44, 46% -1357Minnesota Twins
VS Los Angeles Angels3-3, 50% -114VS Minnesota Twins3-3, 50% 64Los Angeles Angels
vs Team Under .50050-39, 56% -810vs Team .500 or Better34-64, 35% -2478Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite24-19, 56% -267Record as Home Underdog14-16, 47% -49Los Angeles Angels
When Pablo Lopez Starts22-13, 63% 266When Reid Detmers Starts10-19, 34% -568Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-7, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-5, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-39, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS2-3, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Reid Detmers STARTS1-4, 20% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-6, 57% +125 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-7, 36% -316 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 46-37, 55% -69 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 37-44, 46% -788

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 7-7, 50% -140 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-5, 55% +39 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 47-36, 57% -139 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1316

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 34-37, 48% -670 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 39-32, 55% + 380

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