The San Diego Padres are 6-10 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 8-4 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Michael King has a 32% chance of a QS and Taijuan Walker a 36% chance. If Michael King has a quality start the Padres has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 51%. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Phillies has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Michael King who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Taijuan Walker who averaged 3.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 83% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-4, 67% 217 | Record at Home | 6-10, 38% -552 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS San Diego Padres | 2-0, 100% 187 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-2, 0% -200 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 12-2, 86% 505 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-6, 54% 149 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-1, 67% 92 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-7, 46% -252 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Michael King Starts | 3-2, 60% 130 | San Diego Padres |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-43, 50% -424 | Record at Home | 44-37, 54% -893 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS San Diego Padres | 5-2, 71% 217 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-5, 29% -318 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 55-48, 53% 184 | vs Team .500 or Better | 40-51, 44% -1738 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-20, 43% -173 | Record As Home Favorite | 39-30, 57% -753 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 21-10, 68% 725 | When Michael King Starts | 3-5, 38% -155 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-9, 18% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-7, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-9, 18% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-43, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-45, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Michael King STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-7, 42% -700 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-10, 38% -400 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 40-46, 47% -1325 San Diego Padres Home Games: 38-43, 47% -671
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-5, 58% -2 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-11, 31% -690 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 43-43, 50% -932 San Diego Padres Home Games: 45-36, 56% -642
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 36-42, 46% -1020 San Diego Padres Home Games: 31-35, 47% -750
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