April 28, 2024 10:29 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants 4/28/2024

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The San Francisco Giants are 8-7 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 9-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Keaton Winn is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Jared Jones. Keaton Winn has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jared Jones has a 41% chance of a QS. If Keaton Winn has a quality start the Giants has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 58%. In Jared Jones quality starts the Pirates win 63%. He has a 56% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Keaton Winn who averaged 3.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Jared Jones who averaged 3.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-7, 56% 338Record at Home8-7, 53% -122Pittsburgh Pirates
VS San Francisco Giants1-1, 50% 28VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-1, 50% -35Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .5007-2, 78% 540vs Team Under .50010-10, 50% -134Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog8-6, 57% 362Record As Home Favorite7-6, 54% -124Pittsburgh Pirates
When Jared Jones Starts1-2, 33% -131When Keaton Winn Starts2-3, 40% -117San Francisco Giants

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-44, 46% 609Record at Home45-36, 56% -94Pittsburgh Pirates
VS San Francisco Giants2-4, 33% -168VS Pittsburgh Pirates4-2, 67% 90San Francisco Giants
vs Team Under .50036-24, 60% 1415vs Team Under .50033-28, 54% -382Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog31-42, 42% 322Record As Home Favorite29-24, 55% -571Pittsburgh Pirates
When Jared Jones Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Keaton Winn Starts2-4, 33% -259Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-7, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-7, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-37, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-49, 39% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jared Jones STARTS0-3, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Keaton Winn STARTS1-4, 20% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 10-6, 62% +547 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 10-5, 67% +520 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 37-44, 46% -610 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 44-37, 54% +159

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-9, 44% -400 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 10-5, 67% +273 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 38-43, 47% -1892 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 44-37, 54% -387

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 33-33, 50% -330 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 30-47, 39% -2170

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