The New York Mets are 6-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 8-7 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Jose Quintana is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Lance Lynn. Jose Quintana has a 36% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lance Lynn has a 26% chance of a QS. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Mets has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 67%. In Lance Lynn quality starts the Cardinals win 63%. He has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jose Quintana who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Lance Lynn who averaged 3.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-7, 53% 105 | Record at Home | 6-8, 43% -318 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS New York Mets | 2-0, 100% 179 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-2, 0% -200 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-8, 33% -326 | vs Team Under .500 | 1-4, 20% -309 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -89 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -116 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Lance Lynn Starts | 4-1, 80% 311 | When Jose Quintana Starts | 3-2, 60% 140 | St. Louis Cardinals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-45, 44% -529 | Record at Home | 40-41, 49% -894 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS New York Mets | 3-4, 43% -90 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 4-3, 57% 102 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 27-34, 44% -1418 | vs Team Under .500 | 30-30, 50% -925 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 22-28, 44% 162 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-26, 52% -701 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Lance Lynn Starts | 18-17, 51% -103 | When Jose Quintana Starts | 5-8, 38% -375 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-43, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Lance Lynn STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-10, 33% -292 New York Mets Home Games: 9-5, 64% +395 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 43-38, 53% +662 New York Mets Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1271
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-8, 47% -333 New York Mets Home Games: 10-4, 71% +501 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 48-33, 59% +500 New York Mets Home Games: 43-38, 53% -543
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 New York Mets Home Games: 5-9, 36% -490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 33-35, 49% -550 New York Mets Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140
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