The Texas Rangers are 7-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 5-5 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers starter Michael Lorenzen is forecasted to have a better game than Reds starter Hunter Greene. Michael Lorenzen has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hunter Greene has a 48% chance of a QS. If Michael Lorenzen has a quality start the Rangers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 61%. In Hunter Greene quality starts the Reds win 64%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Adolis Garcia who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Elly De La Cruz who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -25 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -144 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-0, 100% 61 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-11, 35% -466 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-6, 57% 131 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-5, 29% -226 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -52 | Texas Rangers |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 2-0, 100% 216 | Texas Rangers |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 44-37, 54% 1607 | Record at Home | 52-35, 60% 60 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Texas Rangers | 3-0, 100% 328 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-3, 0% -300 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 41-47, 47% 414 | vs Team Under .500 | 48-27, 64% 392 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 36-32, 53% 1452 | Record As Home Favorite | 44-29, 60% -170 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 9-13, 41% -335 | When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 11-14, 44% -438 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-10, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-10, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-36, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-31, 62% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael Lorenzen STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-6, 40% -322 Texas Rangers Home Games: 8-6, 57% +152 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 43-38, 53% +90 Texas Rangers Home Games: 45-42, 52% -931
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-6, 40% -350 Texas Rangers Home Games: 9-5, 64% +217 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-36, 56% +33 Texas Rangers Home Games: 50-37, 57% -377
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Texas Rangers Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-26, 63% + 1640 Texas Rangers Home Games: 40-31, 56% + 590
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