The New York Mets are 6-7 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 7-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Adrian Houser has a 34% chance of a QS and Sonny Gray a 37% chance. If Adrian Houser has a quality start the Mets has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 52%. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Cardinals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.8 and he has a 59% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Adrian Houser who averaged 2.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 61% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Sonny Gray who averaged 3.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 28 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -218 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 102 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-1, 0% -100 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-8, 27% -403 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-3, 57% 14 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-1, 75% 117 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -102 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 2-1, 67% 68 | When Adrian Houser Starts | 1-3, 25% -221 | St. Louis Cardinals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-45, 44% -529 | Record at Home | 40-41, 49% -894 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS New York Mets | 3-4, 43% -90 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 4-3, 57% 102 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 27-34, 44% -1418 | vs Team Under .500 | 30-30, 50% -925 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 14-17, 45% -691 | Record as Home Underdog | 12-15, 44% -193 | New York Mets |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 15-18, 45% -660 | When Adrian Houser Starts | 13-7, 65% 623 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-8, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-43, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS | 0-3, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Adrian Houser STARTS | 4-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-9, 36% -192 New York Mets Home Games: 9-4, 69% +495 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 43-38, 53% +662 New York Mets Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1271
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-8, 43% -410 New York Mets Home Games: 9-4, 69% +424 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 48-33, 59% +500 New York Mets Home Games: 43-38, 53% -543
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 New York Mets Home Games: 5-8, 38% -380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 33-35, 49% -550 New York Mets Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140
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