The Miami Marlins are 2-12 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 7-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Edward Cabrera has a 46% chance of a QS and Mitchell Parker a 46% chance. If Edward Cabrera has a quality start the Marlins has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 51%. If Mitchell Parker has a quality start the Nationals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 10.5 and he has a 70% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Edward Cabrera who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 61% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Mitchell Parker who averaged 3.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 81% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% 589 | Record at Home | 2-12, 14% -914 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 144 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-6, 54% 398 | vs Team Under .500 | 2-12, 14% -964 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-6, 50% 514 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-9, 0% -900 | Washington Nationals |
| When Mitchell Parker Starts | 1-0, 100% 164 | When Edward Cabrera Starts | 0-0 No Games | Washington Nationals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-45, 44% 1627 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% 242 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-11, 15% -736 | VS Washington Nationals | 11-2, 85% 480 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 39-63, 38% 512 | vs Team Under .500 | 46-28, 62% 879 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 36-45, 44% 1627 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-21, 56% -336 | Washington Nationals |
| When Mitchell Parker Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Edward Cabrera Starts | 10-10, 50% -14 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-5, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-5, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-5, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-40, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mitchell Parker STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Edward Cabrera STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 10-3, 77% +1102 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-7, 50% -8 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 47-34, 58% +2173 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +1583
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -346 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-9, 36% -470 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 44-37, 54% -1468 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +718
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Miami Marlins Home Games: 11-3, 79% + 770 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 34-29, 54% + 210 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-29, 57% + 710
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