July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians 7/21/2019

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The Cleveland Indians are 31-20 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 14-34 on the road this season. The Indians have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Indians\' starter Zach Plesac is forecasted to have a better game than Royals\' starter Glenn Sparkman. Zach Plesac has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Glenn Sparkman has a 25% chance of a QS. If Zach Plesac has a quality start the Indians has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 74%. In Glenn Sparkman quality starts the Royals win 64%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Carlos Santana who averaged 2.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Hunter Dozier who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 45% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-34, 29% -1286Record at Home31-20, 61% -49Cleveland Indians
VS Cleveland Indians4-6, 40% -23VS Kansas City Royals6-4, 60% -69Kansas City Royals
vs Team .500 or Better20-40, 33% -1069vs Team Under .50041-19, 68% 519Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog14-33, 30% -1186Record As Home Favorite27-17, 61% -223Cleveland Indians
When Glenn Sparkman Starts4-6, 40% 54When Zach Plesac Starts5-3, 62% 54EVEN

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-8, 27% -308Record at Home11-3, 79% 255Cleveland Indians
VS Cleveland Indians1-6, 14% -386VS Kansas City Royals6-1, 86% 231Cleveland Indians
vs Team .500 or Better3-10, 23% -484vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -128Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog3-8, 27% -308Record As Home Favorite11-3, 79% 255Cleveland Indians
When Glenn Sparkman Starts2-2, 50% 127When Zach Plesac Starts3-1, 75% 64Kansas City Royals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-22, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-24, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-41, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-33, 58% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Glenn Sparkman STARTS6-3, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Zach Plesac STARTS4-4, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 23-25, 48% -242 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 20-31, 39% -1228 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -254 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 10-4, 71% +260

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 29-19, 60% -262 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 32-19, 63% +218 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 7-4, 64% -66 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 12-2, 86% +531

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 15-21, 42% -810 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 23-16, 59% + 540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 1-8, 11% -780 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470

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