July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/21/2019

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 21-23 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 21-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Alex Young has a 26% chance of a QS and Brandon Woodruff a 26% chance. If Alex Young has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 51%. If Brandon Woodruff has a quality start the Brewers has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-27, 44% -593Record at Home21-23, 48% -383Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-1, 50% -7VS Milwaukee Brewers1-1, 50% 12Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better26-28, 48% -458vs Team .500 or Better30-31, 49% 149Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite7-11, 39% -540Record as Home Underdog10-9, 53% 231Arizona Diamondbacks
When Brandon Woodruff Starts15-4, 79% 691When Alex Young Starts3-0, 100% 344Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-6, 33% -324Record at Home7-4, 64% 275Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-1, 50% -7VS Milwaukee Brewers1-1, 50% 12Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better7-7, 50% -173vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -317Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite1-4, 20% -310Record as Home Underdog4-1, 80% 371Arizona Diamondbacks
When Brandon Woodruff Starts3-1, 75% 61When Alex Young Starts3-0, 100% 344Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-27, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-22, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-45, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Woodruff STARTS11-8, 58% OverOVER-UNDER IN Alex Young STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-27, 44% -921 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 22-22, 50% -141 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -107 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-3, 73% +457

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 22-26, 46% -851 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 19-25, 43% -1001 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -145 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-5, 55% +22

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-24, 47% -540 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 18-19, 49% -290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460

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