July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants 7/21/2019

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The San Francisco Giants are 22-26 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 20-35 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants\' starter Conner Menez is forecasted to have a better game than Mets\' starter Steven Matz. Conner Menez has a 25% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Steven Matz has a 19% chance of a QS. If Conner Menez has a quality start the Giants has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 64%. In Steven Matz quality starts the Mets win 62%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Austin Slater who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

New York MetsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-35, 36% -1311Record at Home22-26, 46% -267San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants2-3, 40% -173VS New York Mets3-2, 60% 189San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better30-43, 41% -1190vs Team .500 or Better20-28, 42% -195San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog13-22, 37% -502Record As Home Favorite8-5, 62% 129San Francisco Giants
When Steven Matz Starts9-8, 53% 186When Conner Menez Starts2-1, 67% 62New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

New York MetsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% -138Record at Home7-5, 58% 199San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants0-2, 0% -200VS New York Mets2-0, 100% 266San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better7-12, 37% -385vs Team Under .50012-3, 80% 1333San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog4-5, 44% 40Record As Home Favorite4-1, 80% 230San Francisco Giants
When Steven Matz Starts1-2, 33% -67When Conner Menez Starts0-0 No GamesSan Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD32-21, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-23, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-37, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-42, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Steven Matz STARTS8-8, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Conner Menez STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 33-22, 60% +724 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 24-24, 50% -246 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-7, 50% -41 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 10-2, 83% +740

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 32-23, 58% +118 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 31-17, 65% +777 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-6, 57% -9 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 10-2, 83% +635

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 30-19, 61% + 910 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 24-19, 56% + 310 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260

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