July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

Oakland Athletics vs Minnesota Twins 7/21/2019

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The Minnesota Twins are 30-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 26-21 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins\' starter Michael Pineda is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics\' starter Daniel Mengden. Michael Pineda has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Daniel Mengden has a 27% chance of a QS. If Michael Pineda has a quality start the Twins has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 65%. In Daniel Mengden quality starts the Athletics win 66%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Nelson Cruz who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Matt Olson who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Oakland AthleticsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-21, 55% 451Record at Home30-17, 64% 394Oakland Athletics
VS Minnesota Twins3-2, 60% 133VS Oakland Athletics2-3, 40% -143Oakland Athletics
vs Team .500 or Better32-24, 57% 994vs Team .500 or Better26-22, 54% 306Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog14-13, 52% 433Record As Home Favorite24-15, 62% -91Oakland Athletics
When Daniel Mengden Starts6-3, 67% 193When Michael Pineda Starts10-8, 56% -64Oakland Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Oakland AthleticsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-3, 73% 547Record at Home5-5, 50% -132Oakland Athletics
VS Minnesota Twins3-2, 60% 133VS Oakland Athletics2-3, 40% -143Oakland Athletics
vs Team .500 or Better9-5, 64% 518vs Team .500 or Better6-5, 55% 86Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog6-2, 75% 512Record As Home Favorite4-5, 44% -225Oakland Athletics
When Daniel Mengden Starts4-0, 100% 347When Michael Pineda Starts2-2, 50% -78Oakland Athletics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oakland AthleticsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-21, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-23, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-33, 58% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Daniel Mengden STARTS5-4, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Michael Pineda STARTS10-6, 62% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 23-24, 49% -304 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 28-19, 60% +12 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 3-8, 27% -394 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-5, 50% -132

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 28-19, 60% +270 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 29-18, 62% +108 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 4-7, 36% -381 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-5, 50% -132

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 19-21, 48% -410 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 20-19, 51% -90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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