July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs 7/21/2019

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The Chicago Cubs are 35-17 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 23-24 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Kyle Hendricks is forecasted to have a better game than Padres\' starter Adrian Morejon. Kyle Hendricks has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adrian Morejon has a 22% chance of a QS. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Cubs has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 74%. In Adrian Morejon quality starts the Padres win 51%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 42% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

San Diego PadresRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-24, 49% 174Record at Home35-17, 67% 822Chicago Cubs
VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100VS San Diego Padres1-0, 100% 61Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better31-30, 51% 242vs Team Under .50027-19, 59% 13San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog16-16, 50% 440Record As Home Favorite30-15, 67% 542Chicago Cubs
When Adrian Morejon Starts1-2, 33% -139When Kyle Hendricks Starts8-9, 47% -348San Diego Padres

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

San Diego PadresRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% -52Record at Home9-5, 64% 155Chicago Cubs
VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100VS San Diego Padres1-0, 100% 61Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better5-12, 29% -588vs Team Under .5006-6, 50% -96Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog3-3, 50% 153Record As Home Favorite8-4, 67% 156Chicago Cubs
When Adrian Morejon Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Kyle Hendricks Starts0-3, 0% -300San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-18, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-27, 48% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-42, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-39, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Adrian Morejon STARTS0-3, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Hendricks STARTS6-10, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 21-26, 45% -632 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 30-22, 58% +6 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-7, 46% -37 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-6, 57% +35

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 22-25, 47% -882 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 33-19, 63% +463 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-6, 54% -68 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 10-4, 71% +367

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 19-20, 49% -300 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 24-27, 47% -570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40

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