July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros 7/21/2019

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The Houston Astros are 34-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 19-26 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Rogelio Armenteros is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Lance Lynn. Rogelio Armenteros has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lance Lynn has a 34% chance of a QS. If Rogelio Armenteros has a quality start the Astros has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.7 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 63%. In Lance Lynn quality starts the Rangers win 62%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Joey Gallo who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 48% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Texas RangersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-26, 42% -408Record at Home34-14, 71% 378Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros6-9, 40% 99VS Texas Rangers9-6, 60% -154Texas Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better25-35, 42% -83vs Team .500 or Better39-26, 60% -149Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog15-26, 37% -726Record As Home Favorite34-14, 71% 378Houston Astros
When Lance Lynn Starts14-7, 67% 644When Rogelio Armenteros Starts0-0 No GamesTexas Rangers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Texas RangersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 6Record at Home7-3, 70% 0Texas Rangers
VS Houston Astros2-3, 40% -11VS Texas Rangers3-2, 60% -37Texas Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better5-11, 31% -468vs Team Under .5008-2, 80% 264Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog3-5, 38% -147Record As Home Favorite7-3, 70% 0Houston Astros
When Lance Lynn Starts4-1, 80% 271When Rogelio Armenteros Starts0-0 No GamesTexas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-20, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-25, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-45, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-43, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Lance Lynn STARTS7-13, 35% OverOVER-UNDER IN Rogelio Armenteros STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 19-26, 42% -903 Houston Astros Home Games: 28-20, 58% -502 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-4, 60% -57 Houston Astros Home Games: 4-6, 40% -427

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 25-20, 56% -428 Houston Astros Home Games: 34-14, 71% +378 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 7-3, 70% +130 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-3, 70% 0

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 18-16, 53% + 40 Houston Astros Home Games: 22-22, 50% -220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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