July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers 7/21/2019

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The Detroit Tigers are 12-34 at home this season and the Toronto Blue Jays are 19-32 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Alexander has a 39% chance of a QS and Jacob Waguespack a 39% chance. If Tyler Alexander has a quality start the Tigers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 59% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 50%. If Jacob Waguespack has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Miguel Cabrera who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Lourdes Gurriel who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-32, 37% -664Record at Home12-34, 26% -2056Toronto Blue Jays
VS Detroit Tigers3-2, 60% 8VS Toronto Blue Jays2-3, 40% -45Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team Under .50014-17, 45% -614vs Team Under .50016-21, 43% -411Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite4-2, 67% 117Record as Home Underdog5-30, 14% -2223Toronto Blue Jays
When Jacob Waguespack Starts1-0, 100% 244When Tyler Alexander Starts0-0 No GamesToronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-9, 36% -151Record at Home1-9, 10% -737Toronto Blue Jays
VS Detroit Tigers1-0, 100% 61VS Toronto Blue Jays0-1, 0% -100Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% 33vs Team .500 or Better1-12, 8% -1037Toronto Blue Jays
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 61Record as Home Underdog1-8, 11% -637Toronto Blue Jays
When Jacob Waguespack Starts1-0, 100% 244When Tyler Alexander Starts0-0 No GamesToronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-26, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-22, 52% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-29, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jacob Waguespack STARTS0-1, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tyler Alexander STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 28-23, 55% +219 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 25-21, 54% -303 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 11-3, 79% +286 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-4, 60% -46

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 32-19, 63% -86 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 32-14, 70% +652 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 10-4, 71% +27 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-2, 80% +253

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 27-16, 63% + 940 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 26-18, 59% + 620 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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