July 21, 2019 9:30 AM CDT

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves 7/21/2019

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The Atlanta Braves are 29-20 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 25-25 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves\' starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Joe Ross. Kevin Gausman has a 19% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Joe Ross has a 9% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Braves has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 73%. In Joe Ross quality starts the Nationals win 57%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 3.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Anthony Rendon who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 44% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Washington NationalsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-25, 50% -455Record at Home29-20, 59% 34Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves4-3, 57% 17VS Washington Nationals3-4, 43% -103Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better21-21, 50% -339vs Team .500 or Better27-25, 52% -29Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog10-14, 42% -304Record As Home Favorite24-16, 60% -83Atlanta Braves
When Joe Ross Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Kevin Gausman Starts7-6, 54% -91Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Washington NationalsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-4, 69% 151Record at Home5-3, 62% 32Washington Nationals
VS Atlanta Braves2-3, 40% -155VS Washington Nationals3-2, 60% 97Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -84vs Team .500 or Better7-5, 58% 134Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% -1Record As Home Favorite4-2, 67% 34Atlanta Braves
When Joe Ross Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Kevin Gausman Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-22, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME29-17, 63% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-45, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Joe Ross STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS10-3, 77% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 20-30, 40% -1607 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 27-22, 55% -280 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-6, 54% -161 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-3, 62% +32

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 27-23, 54% -422 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 26-23, 53% -592 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +161 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-3, 62% +32

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 24-21, 53% + 90 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 27-16, 63% + 940 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 2-3, 40% -130

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