November 10, 2025 2:54 AM EST

Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts 2025-11-12 19:00:00.0

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Northern Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 79.0% of simulations over Massachusetts. Josh Holst is averaging 210.0 passing yards and 1.55 TDs per simulation and Telly Johnson Jr. is projected for 125.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21.0% of simulations where Massachusetts wins, Brandon Rose averages 0.71 TD passes vs 1.32 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.34 TDs to 1.68 interceptions. Rocko Griffin averages 69.0 rushing yards and 0.81 rushing TDs when Massachusetts wins and 59.0 yards and 0.38 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 67.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UMASS +10.5 --- Over/Under line is 42.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Northern IllinoisATS RECORDMassachusettsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-7-0All Games 3-5-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 10-40-00Home Games 1-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-2-0When Underdog 3-5-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1-2-0Non-Conference Opp 3-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-4-0Opp Under .500 1-4-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Northern IllinoisATS RECORDMassachusettsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-5-0All Games 7-5-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-00-00Home Games 0-4-0Northern Illinois
When Favored 0-5-0When Underdog 7-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 5-1-0Non-Conference Opp 7-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 3-3-0Opp .500+ Record 2-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Northern IllinoisO-U-P RECORDMassachusettsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-5-1All Totals (O-U-P) 5-3-0UNDER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 2-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 9-2-1All Totals Last Season 8-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-2-0At Home Last Season 3-1-0OVER

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