November 10, 2025 2:54 AM EST

Air Force vs Connecticut 2025-11-15 12:00:00.0

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Connecticut is a heavy favorite winning 77.0% of simulations over Air Force. Alexander Honig is averaging 150.0 passing yards and 1.2 TDs per simulation and Mel Brown is projected for 123.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23.0% of simulations where Air Force wins, Josh Johnson averages 1.37 TD passes vs 0.46 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.69 TDs to 0.72 interceptions. Dylan Carson averages 122.0 rushing yards and 1.04 rushing TDs when Air Force wins and 113.0 yards and 0.58 TDs in losses. Connecticut has a 29.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCONN -8.5 --- Over/Under line is 63.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Air ForceATS RECORDConnecticutATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-5-0All Games 4-3-1No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 30-10-00Home Games 3-1-1 No Edge
When Underdog 3-1-0When Favored 2-3-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1-1-0Non-Conference Opp 3-2-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0Opp Under .500 2-3-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Air ForceATS RECORDConnecticutATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-7-0All Games 12-10-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 50-20-00Home Games 2-9-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-2-0When Favored 2-9-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 2-3-0Non-Conference Opp 8-7-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 1-3-0Opp Under .500 3-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Air ForceO-U-P RECORDConnecticutO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-3-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-3-0OVER
On Road 3-1-0At Home 3-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 9-2-0All Totals Last Season 10-1-1OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 5-1-0OVER

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