AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boise State winning 52.0% of simulations, and San Diego State 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boise State commits fewer turnovers in 27.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. San Diego State wins 59.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Maddux Madsen is averaging 52.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Cam Davis is averaging 90.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SDST -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 41.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Boise State | ATS RECORD | San Diego State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4-3-1 | All Games | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 20-20-00 | Home Games | 3-0-0 | San Diego State |
| When Underdog | 1-0-0 | When Favored | 4-2-0 | Boise State |
| Conference Opp | 2-2-1 | Conference Opp | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-3-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Boise State | ATS RECORD | San Diego State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-6-0 | All Games | 6-6-1 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 60-10-00 | Home Games | 1-5-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 6-0-0 | When Favored | 1-4-0 | Boise State |
| Conference Opp | 5-3-0 | Conference Opp | 5-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boise State | O-U-P RECORD | San Diego State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-5-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-3-0 | At Home | 1-2-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 13-0-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-1-0 | OVER |
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