November 10, 2025 2:54 AM EST

Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky 2025-11-15 15:30:00.0

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Western Kentucky is a heavy favorite winning 79.0% of simulations over Middle Tennessee. Caden Veltkamp is averaging 187.0 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per simulation and La'Vell Wright is projected for 40.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21.0% of simulations where Middle Tennessee wins, Nicholas Vattiato averages 2.35 TD passes vs 0.84 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.26 TDs to 1.07 interceptions. Frank Peasant averages 82.0 rushing yards and 1.77 rushing TDs when Middle Tennessee wins and 65.0 yards and 0.96 TDs in losses. Western Kentucky has a 32.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WKY -13.5 --- Over/Under line is 56.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Middle TennesseeATS RECORDWestern KentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-3-0All Games 3-2-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 10-10-00Home Games 2-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-3-0When Favored 2-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 1-2-0Conference Opp 2-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0Opp Under .500 2-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Middle TennesseeATS RECORDWestern KentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-7-0All Games 11-8-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-00-00Home Games 1-7-0Middle Tennessee
When Underdog 9-2-0When Favored 1-7-0No Edge
Conference Opp 6-6-0Conference Opp 6-6-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 4-2-0Opp Under .500 1-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Middle TennesseeO-U-P RECORDWestern KentuckyO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-3-0No Edge
On Road 1-1-0At Home 0-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-1-0All Totals Last Season 9-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-1-0At Home Last Season 3-1-0OVER

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