Missouri is a solid favorite with a 75.0% chance to beat Mississippi State. Sam Horn is projected for 206.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25.0% of simulations where Mississippi State wins, Blake Shapen averages 2.4 TD passes vs 0.5 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.36 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Fluff Bothwell averages 66.0 rushing yards and 0.86 rushing TDs when Mississippi State wins and 59.0 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. Missouri has a 25.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MO -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | Missouri | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 7-2-0 | All Games | 4-3-1 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-10-00 | Home Games | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-2-0 | When Favored | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 3-2-0 | Conference Opp | 2-2-1 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-1 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | Missouri | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-12-0 | All Games | 8-15-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 80-10-00 | Home Games | 0-14-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 8-2-0 | When Favored | 0-14-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 6-6-0 | Conference Opp | 6-8-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-5-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-1-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Mississippi State | O-U-P RECORD | Missouri | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-3-1 | No Edge |
| On Road | 1-3-0 | At Home | 4-1-1 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-1-0 | All Totals Last Season | 11-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-1-0 | OVER |
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