November 10, 2025 2:54 AM EST

North Carolina State vs Miami (FL) 2025-11-15 15:30:00.0

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Miami (FL) is a solid favorite with a 73.0% chance to beat North Carolina State. Mark Fletcher Jr. is projected for 38.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27.0% of simulations where North Carolina State wins, CJ Bailey averages 2.65 TD passes vs 0.4 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.39 TDs to 0.66 interceptions. Hollywood Smothers averages 105.0 rushing yards and 1.02 rushing TDs when North Carolina State wins and 94.0 yards and 0.55 TDs in losses. Miami (FL) has a 31.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIA -14.5 --- Over/Under line is 56.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North Carolina StateATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 4-4-0All Games 4-4-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 20-20-00Home Games 3-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-2-0When Favored 3-4-0No Edge
Conference Opp 4-2-0Conference Opp 1-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-1-0Opp .500+ Record 2-3-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

North Carolina StateATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-15-0All Games 9-14-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 80-10-00Home Games 0-13-0 No Edge
When Underdog 8-2-0When Favored 2-14-0No Edge
Conference Opp 6-9-0Conference Opp 6-7-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 2-5-0Opp Under .500 0-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North Carolina StateO-U-P RECORDMiami (FL)O-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-3-0All Totals (O-U-P) 4-4-0OVER
On Road 3-1-0At Home 4-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 11-1-0All Totals Last Season 11-0-1OVER
On Road Last Season 4-0-0At Home Last Season 6-0-0OVER

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