November 10, 2025 2:54 AM EST

North Texas vs UAB 2025-11-15 14:00:00.0

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North Texas is a heavy favorite winning 90.0% of simulations over UAB. Drew Mestemaker is averaging 199.0 passing yards and 1.48 TDs per simulation and Makenzie McGill is projected for 102.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10.0% of simulations where UAB wins, Jacob Zeno averages 1.26 TD passes vs 0.7 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.59 TDs to 0.99 interceptions. Jacob Zeno averages 99.0 rushing yards and 2.49 rushing TDs when UAB wins and 77.0 yards and 1.19 TDs in losses. North Texas has a 33.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UAB +18.0 --- Over/Under line is 70.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North TexasATS RECORDUABATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-3-0All Games 3-5-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 10-20-00Home Games 1-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 5-3-0When Underdog 3-4-0No Edge
Conference Opp 2-2-0Conference Opp 2-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-2-0Opp .500+ Record 2-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

North TexasATS RECORDUABATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-5-0All Games 7-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 60-10-00Home Games 0-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-4-0When Underdog 7-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp 5-2-0Conference Opp 4-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 5-1-0Opp Under .500 3-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North TexasO-U-P RECORDUABO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 4-4-0OVER
On Road 3-0-0At Home 1-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 12-0-0All Totals Last Season 10-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 7-0-0At Home Last Season 5-0-0OVER

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