Penn State is a heavy favorite winning 77.0% of simulations over Michigan State. Drew Allar is averaging 277.0 passing yards and 2.12 TDs per simulation and Nicholas Singleton is projected for 85.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23.0% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Aidan Chiles averages 2.75 TD passes vs 0.19 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.53 TDs to 0.28 interceptions. Elijah TauTolliver averages 57.0 rushing yards and 0.48 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 54.0 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 23.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST +7.0 --- Over/Under line is 49.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Penn State | ATS RECORD | Michigan State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2-6-0 | All Games | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-20-00 | Home Games | 1-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 0-5-0 | When Underdog | 5-0-0 | Michigan State |
| Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Conference Opp | 4-0-0 | Michigan State |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Penn State | ATS RECORD | Michigan State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 12-15-0 | All Games | 10-12-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 120-00-00 | Home Games | 0-12-0 | Penn State |
| When Favored | 1-14-0 | When Underdog | 10-1-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 7-6-0 | Conference Opp | 7-8-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-5-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Penn State | O-U-P RECORD | Michigan State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-0-0 | At Home | 2-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 13-3-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-2-0 | OVER |
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