AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Texas State winning 44.0% of simulations, and Southern Miss 56.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas State commits fewer turnovers in 11.0% of simulations and they go on to win 61.0% when they take care of the ball. Southern Miss wins 65.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nate Yarnell is averaging 253.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Braylon Braxton is averaging 328.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 65.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2-6-0 | All Games | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-40-00 | Home Games | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-2-0 | When Favored | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 0-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-6-0 | All Games | 6-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 50-00-00 | Home Games | 1-6-0 | Texas State |
| When Underdog | 4-0-0 | When Favored | 0-5-0 | Texas State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-3-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 5-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas State | O-U-P RECORD | Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-2-0 | At Home | 3-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-2-1 | All Totals Last Season | 8-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-1-0 | OVER |
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