November 24, 2019 8:46 AM CST

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans 11/21/2019

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Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 46% of simulations, and the Houston Texans 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. The Houston Texans wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jacoby Brissett is averaging 280 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Carlos Hyde is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDHouston TexansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-3-2All Games5-5-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games2-0-2Home Games1-3-0Indianapolis Colts
When Underdog2-0-2When Favored2-3-0Indianapolis Colts
Division Opp3-0-0Division Opp1-2-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Indianapolis Colts

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDHouston TexansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-8-1All Games8-9-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games6-4-0Home Games4-5-0Indianapolis Colts
When Underdog4-4-0When Favored7-7-0No Edge
Division Opp4-2-1Division Opp4-3-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Indianapolis Colts

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Indianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDHouston TexansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-6-0No Edge
On Road2-2-0At Home1-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season8-10-0All Totals Last Season7-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-6-0At Home Last Season3-6-0UNDER

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