March 20, 2023 6:29 AM CDT

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders 3/21/2023

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are slight 54.2 percent favorites over the New York Islanders. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +0 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Islanders. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.8% compared to the Islanders goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Matt Murray 26, Ilya Sorokin 26 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.4, Bo Horvat 3 GOALS: Auston Matthews 0.68, Bo Horvat 0.53 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 64% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Brock Nelson has a 52% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Islanders

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-15, 53% -125Record at Home20-15, 57% -68New York Islanders
VS New York Islanders1-1, 50% -56VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% 52New York Islanders
vs Team .500 or Better20-12, 62% 317vs Team .500 or Better13-22, 37% -732Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog7-2, 78% 501Record As Home Favorite14-9, 61% -68Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off35-23, 60% -4456After 1 or More Days Off28-30, 48% -3304New York Islanders

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-3, 62% 82Record at Home3-2, 60% -23Toronto Maple Leafs
VS New York Islanders0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-3, 62% 82vs Team .500 or Better0-4, 0% -400Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 97Record As Home Favorite3-2, 60% -23Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -873After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -286New York Islanders

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-12, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-15, 56% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-24, 33% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home26-27, 49% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-31, 47% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 14-18, 44% -1572 New York Islanders Home Games: 16-19, 46% -523 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 5-3, 62% -300 New York Islanders Home Games: 2-3, 40% -181

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 15-17, 47% -549 New York Islanders Home Games: 16-19, 46% +-928 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 5-3, 62% +82 New York Islanders Home Games: 3-2, 60% -23

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 18-8, 69% + 838 New York Islanders Home Games: 13-15, 46% -317 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 164 New York Islanders Home Games: 1-4, 20% -309

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