NFL: Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
Expect a close game with the Seattle Seahawks winning 55.0% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 45.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Seattle Seahawks commit fewer turnovers in 34.0% of simulations and they go on to win 77.0% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 58.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Sam Darnold is averaging 254.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41.0% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Rhamondre Stevenson is averaging 63.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (14.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.
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