• 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Midwest Region Predictions

    Written by AccuScore Staff
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    2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Analysis: Midwest Region Predictions

    The University of North Carolina came a couple of Zion Williamson plays away from knocking off Duke in the ACC semifinals, and the Tar Heels are anything but pushovers. After all, "the ceiling is the roof," as Michael Jordan so eloquently said. Needless to say, UNC is projected to waltz past its first two games and into the Sweet 16. Cameron Johnson, Coby White and Luke Maye form a potent trio of heads to cut off before anyone can conquer the snake. As such, Carolina's first test will come in the Sweet 16, when Auburn steps forward after being projected to upset Kansas in the second round of the tournament. That said, UNC is 61% to bet Auburn, and that number actually pops up to 66% if Kansas advances to to the Sweet 16.

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    NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2018 - Midwest

    Kentucky, likewise, dominates the other end of the Midwest region, with a cakewalk in its first two games. Houston, however, is no joke, and the Cougars come into the tournament with a 31-3 season, after losing to Cincinnati in the American Conference Tournament. Houston is projected to demolish Georgia State before comfortably crushing Iowa State to advance to the Sweet 16 and a date with Kentucky.

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    While North Carolina is projected to beat Auburn with a 61% to 39% edge, the matchup between Kentucky and Houston is much closer at 52% to 48%. Kentucky does advance, but the cakewalk ends by the time the Sweet 16 rolls around, with games only getting closer in the Elite 8.

    There isn't much to separate Kentucky and UNC, especially with a trip to the Final Four on the line. However, North Carolina gets the slightest of edges in a head-to-head matchup, with 51% of simulations go to North Carolina to advance. Overall, North Carolina has a 8.9% chance of winning the tournament according to AccuScore and 30.0% chance of making the Final Four. Kentucky's odds of winning the tournament aren't much worse at 7.2%, and the Wildcats have a 25.6% chance of advancing to the Final Four.

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    Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Region-by-Region Bracketology Previews:
    South Region
    East Region
    West Region

  • Louisville at North Carolina: Preview

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Louisville at North Carolina: College Hoops

    Wednesday features a marquee ACC matchup with No. 8 North Carolina hosting No. 7 Louisville in Chapel Hill. UNC enters the matchup ranked No. 1 in the ACC, but recent struggles in February on the defensive end opens the door for a Louisvile squad riding a three-game winning streak.

    UNC opened as a 4.5-point favorite at home.

    What to Watch For

    Offense vs Defense: This matchup features a Carolina team putting up nearly 87 points per game and a Louisville defense limiting its opponents to just 64 points. One has to give Wednesday night and given the track record the Heels have at home, it's tough to pick the underdog.

    This season Louisville is 4-5 against AP Top 25 teams, with wins against Purdue, UK, Indiana, Duke, and losses to Baylor, Virginia twice, Notre Dame and FSU.

    Dang, Deng: Louisville's sophomore standout Deng Adel has to be a big night for them to stay competitive on the road at UNC. He's been a bit inconsistent this season, but has found rhythm in 2017, scoring in double-digits in eight of his last 10 games.

    He has struggled noticeably this season against ranked opponents and as a result, continues to be the team's x-factor in big matchups like this one. On a good night, he gives Louisville a deep threat they don't otherwise have, shooting close to 35 percent from beyond the arc.

    Other than Deng, keep an eye out for Junior guard Quentin Snider to make an immediate impact. He's averaging 12.1 ppg and 4.1 apg, but has been on a tear since returning from his hip injury.

    Theo Pinson, Matchup Nightmare: UNC's Theo Pinsen is going to be a tough cover for Louisville -- or any opponent for that matter. He was put in the starting lineup two games ago, averaging 10.5 points, 1.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists in 25.5 minutes per game.

    He missed the first 16 games of the season with a broken foot, but that's all old news with his play of late. Able to play the guard and forward spots, Pinson gives UNC a certain level of versatility other schools just don't have. He's too big for a traditional guard to defend him, and he's too quick for a forward to contain him.

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    Final Word

    UNC has the edge at home, no doubt, but Louisville has plenty of size and athleticism to make this a close one. They'll compete on the boards, a facet of the game UNC usually dominates their opponents in. Louisville is top-5 in the nation in offensive rebounds; UNC is No. 2 in offensive rebounding, No. 13 in defensive .

    Expect a close one -- especially in the first half -- but road games in the ACC are tough, no matter who you are. UNC margin of victory at home in ACC play this season? +25.2 pts/game.

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