The Toronto Blue Jays are 57-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 42-44 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Shane Bieber is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners starter George Kirby. Shane Bieber has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while George Kirby has a 42% chance of a QS. If Shane Bieber has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 61%. In George Kirby quality starts the Mariners win 68%. He has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 42-44, 49% -376 | Record at Home | 57-29, 66% 1651 | Toronto Blue Jays |
VS Toronto Blue Jays | 5-7, 42% -200 | VS Seattle Mariners | 7-5, 58% 250 | Toronto Blue Jays |
vs Team .500 or Better | 53-48, 52% 51 | vs Team .500 or Better | 55-45, 55% 1009 | Toronto Blue Jays |
Record As Road Underdog | 19-21, 48% 164 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-21, 64% 326 | Toronto Blue Jays |
When George Kirby Starts | 13-12, 52% -231 | When Shane Bieber Starts | 6-3, 67% 101 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 5-2, 71% 281 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 123 | Seattle Mariners |
VS Toronto Blue Jays | 3-3, 50% 37 | VS Seattle Mariners | 3-3, 50% 0 | Seattle Mariners |
vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -263 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 105 | Toronto Blue Jays |
Record As Road Underdog | 3-2, 60% 137 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 96 | Seattle Mariners |
When George Kirby Starts | 2-3, 40% -94 | When Shane Bieber Starts | 2-2, 50% -32 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 51-34, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 47-35, 57% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-1, 86% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-31, 59% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN George Kirby STARTS | 14-10, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shane Bieber STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 40-46, 47% -664 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 46-40, 53% +44 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-4, 43% -67 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-5, 55% +8
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 35-51, 41% -2304 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 48-38, 56% -292 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-4, 43% -128 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-5, 55% -75
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 28-44, 39% -2040 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 40-33, 55% + 370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 6-1, 86% + 490 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
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