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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 22:35In 6h
CLE
ClevelandGuardians
73-72
@
BAL
BaltimoreOrioles
70-75
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 22:40In 6h
MIN
MinnesotaTwins
68-76
@
DET
DetroitTigers
66-78
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 22:40In 6h
NYM
New YorkMets
66-78
@
MIA
MiamiMarlins
72-73
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 22:40In 6h
HOU
HoustonAstros
73-71
@
PHI
PhiladelphiaPhillies
81-63
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 22:45In 6h
LAA
Los AngelesAngels
54-90
@
BOS
Boston RedSox
80-65
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 23:05In 7h
COL
ColoradoRockies
55-88
@
NYY
New YorkYankees
81-62
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 23:15In 7h
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 53%○ Sharp $
TB
Tampa BayRays
85-5840%
@
ATL
AtlantaBraves
85-5960%
Proj: 3.3–4
Run Line
ATL +1.5 (-187)
EV +4.9%
fading
Moneyline
ATL -116
EV +5.9%
rising
Total
Under 8.5 (-101)
EV +16.2%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
model within 2-3.5 of the line · either side · 3y
53%+1.0%n=217
Money
TB
81%
ATL
19%
TB
48%
ATL
52%
OVR
89%
UND
11%
Bets
TB
27%
ATL
73%
TB
67%
ATL
33%
OVR
77%
UND
23%

The Tampa Bay Rays visit Atlanta Braves in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side clearly.

MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 23:40In 7h
ARI
ArizonaDiamondbacks
77-68
@
KC
Kansas CityRoyals
64-81
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 23:40In 7h
CHC
ChicagoCubs
81-64
@
MIL
MilwaukeeBrewers
89-56
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MLB • TUE, SEP 8 • 23:40In 7h
PIT
PittsburghPirates
71-73
@
CHW
Chicago WhiteSox
75-68
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MLB • WED, SEP 9 • 01:40In 9h
TEX
TexasRangers
71-73
@
SEA
SeattleMariners
67-77
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MLB • WED, SEP 9 • 01:40In 9h
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 44%○ Sharp $
WAS
WashingtonNationals
67-7930%
@
SD
San DiegoPadres
76-6870%
Proj: 2.9–4.5
Run Line
SD -1.5 (+125)
EV +8.3%
Moneyline
SD -184
EV +3.9%
rising
Total
Under 8 (-114)
EV +8.5%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
model within 0-1 of the line · Under · 1m
44%-15.2%n=36

The Washington Nationals visit San Diego Padres in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side decisively.

MLB • WED, SEP 9 • 01:40In 9h
TOR
Toronto BlueJays
72-73
@
ATH
Athletics
58-87
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MLB • WED, SEP 9 • 01:45In 9h
STL
St. LouisCardinals
72-73
@
SF
San FranciscoGiants
60-85
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MLB • WED, SEP 9 • 02:10In 10h
CIN
CincinnatiReds
69-75
@
LAD
Los AngelesDodgers
87-57
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MLS • WED, SEP 9 • 23:30In 1d
○ EV+○ Prob 63%○ Sharp $
CLB
ColumbusCrew
52%
Draw24%
DC
DC United
24%
Proj: 1.8–1.1Most likely: 1–1
1X2
CLB +160
EV +17.9%
Total
U 3 (-143)
EV -0.9%
rising

Columbus Crew travel to DC United in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visitors.

MLS • WED, SEP 9 • 23:30In 1d
ORL
OrlandoCity
@
ATL
AtlantaUtd
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MLS • WED, SEP 9 • 23:30In 1d
CLT
Charlotte
@
MTL
CFMontreal
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MLS • WED, SEP 9 • 23:30In 1d
NSH
NashvilleSC
@
TOR
TorontoFC
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MLS • WED, SEP 9 • 23:45In 1d
CIN
FCCincinnati
@
PHI
PhiladelphiaUnion
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MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 00:00In 1d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 33%○ Sharp $
NE
New EnglandRevolution
21%
Draw24%
NYC
New YorkCity
55%
Proj: 1.3–2.1Most likely: 1–2
1X2
NYC ML (+132)
EV +13.8%
rising
Total
O 3 (+112)
EV +8.4%
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
50-60% win probability · 7.5%+ EV · 1m
33%-17.9%n=18

New England travels to New York City in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the hosts.

NFL • THU, SEP 10 • 00:20In 1d
○ EV+○ Prob 68%○ Sharp $
NE
New EnglandPatriots
9%
@
SEA
SeattleSeahawks
90%
Proj: 24.6–58.9
Spread
SEA -3 (-118)
EV +31.9%
rising
Moneyline
SEA -167
EV +22.2%
Total
O 44.5 (-105)
EV +45.1%
fading
Money
NE
57%
SEA
43%
NE
34%
SEA
66%
OVR
76%
UND
24%
Bets
NE
42%
SEA
58%
NE
47%
SEA
53%
OVR
56%
UND
44%

The New England Patriots travel to face the Seattle Seahawks in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side.

MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 00:30In 1d
COL
ColoradoRapids
@
ATX
Austin FC
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MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 00:30In 1d
MIA
InterMiami
@
CHI
ChicagoFire
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MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 00:30In 1d
RSL
Real SaltLake
@
HOU
HoustonDynamo
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MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 00:30In 1d
DAL
FC Dallas
@
MIN
MinnesotaUnited
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MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 02:30In 1d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 37%○ Sharp $
RBNY
New York RedBulls
7%
Draw14%
LAFC
Los AngelesFC
79%
Proj: 0.9–3.0Most likely: 0–3
1X2
LAFC ML (-227)
EV +6.7%
Total
O 3.5 (-123)
EV -0.1%
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
MLS · 4.5–7.5% EV · 3y
37%+3.3%n=278

Los Angeles FC hosts New York RB in a matchup where the model decisively favors the home side.

MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 02:30In 1d
STL
St. LouisCity
@
POR
PortlandTimbers
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MLS • THU, SEP 10 • 02:30In 1d
LA
Los AngelesGalaxy
@
VAN
VancouverWhitecaps
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NFL • FRI, SEP 11 • 00:35In 2d
SF
San Francisco49ers
@
LAR
Los AngelesRams
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Bundesliga • FRI, SEP 11 • 18:30In 3d
S04
Schalke
@
FCU
UnionBerlin
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Serie A • FRI, SEP 11 • 18:45In 3d
FIO
Fiorentina
@
VEN
Venezia
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La Liga • FRI, SEP 11 • 19:00In 3d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 100%○ Sharp $
VAL
Valencia
21%
Draw40%
SEV
Sevilla
40%
Proj: 0.5–0.8Most likely: 0–0
1X2
Draw (+227)
EV +14.9%
Total
U 2 (+100)
EV +23.9%
rising
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
30-40% win probability · Draw · 1w
100%+236.4%n=14

Valencia travels to Sevilla in a fixture the model sees as a toss-up, with neither side favored to win.

NCAAF • FRI, SEP 11 • 23:30In 3d
RUT
Rutgers
@
BOS
BostonCollege
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NCAAF • SAT, SEP 12 • 00:00In 3d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 34%○ Sharp $
MIS
Missouri
56%
@
KAN
Kansas
44%
Proj: 25.6–22.9
Spread
MIS +5.5 (-108)
EV +18.5%
Moneyline
KAN ML (+190)
EV +13.2%
Total
U 50.5 (-114)
EV +4.7%
fading
Record on picks like this · Moneyline · no qualifying pattern
40-50% win probability · 7.5%+ EV
34%+1.2%n=104
Money
MIS
24%
KAN
76%
MIS
63%
KAN
37%
OVR
98%
UND
2%
Bets
MIS
63%
KAN
37%
MIS
7%
KAN
93%
OVR
97%
UND
3%

Missouri travels to Kansas in a matchup the simulation favours clearly for the visitors.

La Liga • SAT, SEP 12 • 12:00In 3d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 54%○ Sharp $
ALA
Alaves
32%
Draw27%
RAC
RacingSantander
42%
Proj: 1.5–1.7Most likely: 1–1
1X2
RAC +146
EV +1.5%
rising
Total
Over 2.5 (-123)
EV +5.8%
rising
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
total 2.5–3.5 · 1m
54%+2.8%n=235

Racing Santander hosts Deportivo Alaves in a fixture the simulation barely separates—either side has a genuine claim to the three points.

Serie A • SAT, SEP 12 • 13:00In 3d
FRO
Frosinone
@
GEN
Genoa
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Bundesliga • SAT, SEP 12 • 13:30In 3d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 74%○ Sharp $
PAD
Paderborn
6%
Draw12%
BVB
Dortmund
83%
Proj: 0.8–3.2Most likely: 0–3
1X2
BVB -417
EV +1.5%
rising
Total
Over 3.5 (-106)
EV +5.0%
rising
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
total 3.5+ · 1w
74%+40.7%n=19

Borussia Dortmund hosts Paderborn in a fixture where the simulation decisively favors the home side.

Bundesliga • SAT, SEP 12 • 13:30In 3d
B.
B.Monchengladbach
@
SCF
Freiburg
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Bundesliga • SAT, SEP 12 • 13:30In 3d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 37%○ Sharp $
SGE
EintrachtFrankfurt
14%
Draw20%
M05
Mainz
65%
Proj: 1.1–2.4Most likely: 1–2
1X2
M05 ML (+103)
EV +16.3%
Total
O 3.5 (+123)
EV +2.1%
fading
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
Bundesliga · 7.5%+ EV · 1y
37%+3.8%n=131

Eintracht Frankfurt travels to face Mainz 05 in a Bundesliga fixture where the simulation decisively favors the home side.

Bundesliga • SAT, SEP 12 • 13:30In 3d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 37%○ Sharp $
VFB
Stuttgart
42%
Draw24%
TSG
Hoffenheim
35%
Proj: 2–1.8Most likely: 1–1
1X2
VFB ML (+182)
EV +8.5%
rising
Total
O 3.5 (+100)
EV +3.1%
rising
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
Bundesliga · 7.5%+ EV · 1y
37%+3.8%n=131

VfB Stuttgart travel to TSG Hoffenheim in a close match where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors.

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