The Chicago Cubs are 5-1 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 2-4 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Jameson Taillon is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter A.J. Puk. Jameson Taillon has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while A.J. Puk has a 17% chance of a QS. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Cubs has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 53% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 72%. In A.J. Puk quality starts the Marlins win 57%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Jameson Taillon who averaged 3.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is A.J. Puk who averaged 2.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 45% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-4, 33% -108 | Record at Home | 5-1, 83% 298 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-8, 20% -458 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-2, 78% 371 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-4, 33% -108 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-0, 100% 140 | Chicago Cubs |
| When A.J. Puk Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | When Jameson Taillon Starts | 0-0 No Games | Chicago Cubs |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-44, 47% -255 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% 100 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 4-2, 67% 202 | VS Miami Marlins | 2-4, 33% -278 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 38-52, 42% -891 | vs Team .500 or Better | 38-51, 43% -1193 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-37, 38% -639 | Record As Home Favorite | 31-23, 57% -248 | Chicago Cubs |
| When A.J. Puk Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jameson Taillon Starts | 11-19, 37% -912 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-4, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-2, 67% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-4, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-46, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN A.J. Puk STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-2, 67% +363 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 2-4, 33% -142 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 42-41, 51% -501 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 46-35, 57% +401
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-2, 67% +53 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-1, 83% +191 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 52-31, 63% +493 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 44-37, 54% -370
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 32-39, 45% -1090 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 35-39, 47% -790
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
