The Cleveland Guardians are 6-3 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 10-3 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Ben Lively has a 55% chance of a QS and Tanner Houck a 54% chance. If Ben Lively has a quality start the Guardians has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 59%. If Tanner Houck has a quality start the Red Sox has a 60% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 45%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Josh Naylor who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-3, 77% 702 | Record at Home | 6-3, 67% 72 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-3, 25% -224 | VS Boston Red Sox | 3-1, 75% 208 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -116 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-2, 83% 520 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-0, 100% 301 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -86 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Tanner Houck Starts | 3-1, 75% 139 | When Ben Lively Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Boston Red Sox |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-42, 48% 33 | Record at Home | 42-39, 52% -227 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 3-3, 50% -52 | VS Boston Red Sox | 3-3, 50% -79 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team Under .500 | 27-29, 48% -1031 | vs Team Under .500 | 35-41, 46% -1484 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 12-12, 50% -353 | Record as Home Underdog | 18-15, 55% 578 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Tanner Houck Starts | 9-12, 43% -408 | When Ben Lively Starts | 2-4, 33% -264 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-2, 78% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-2, 78% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 28-52, 35% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Houck STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-7, 46% -310 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-5, 44% -281 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 43-38, 53% +618 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 43-38, 53% +350
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-8, 38% -419 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-3, 67% +28 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 40-41, 49% -1046 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 42-39, 52% -776
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 2-7, 22% -570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 26-37, 41% -1470 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 42-29, 59% + 1010
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