The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-8 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 9-3 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Ryan Pepiot is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Kenta Maeda. Ryan Pepiot has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kenta Maeda has a 34% chance of a QS. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 71%. In Kenta Maeda quality starts the Tigers win 53%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Richie Palacios who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-3, 75% 508 | Record at Home | 7-8, 47% -270 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-0, 100% 89 | VS Detroit Tigers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-5, 50% -13 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-5, 62% 105 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 140 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -64 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Kenta Maeda Starts | 1-3, 25% -217 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 2-2, 50% -69 | Tampa Bay Rays |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 41-40, 51% 1274 | Record at Home | 53-30, 64% 99 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-5, 17% -374 | VS Detroit Tigers | 5-1, 83% 167 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 31-54, 36% -628 | vs Team Under .500 | 52-18, 74% 1214 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 30-35, 46% 951 | Record As Home Favorite | 51-28, 65% 97 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Kenta Maeda Starts | 10-11, 48% -370 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 1-2, 33% -119 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-5, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-5, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-29, 64% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kenta Maeda STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-5, 58% +37 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-10, 33% -564 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 48-33, 59% +1649 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 52-31, 63% +658
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-4, 67% +247 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-8, 47% -242 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 45-36, 56% -718 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 53-30, 64% +99
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-10, 29% -700 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 43-30, 59% + 1000 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 40-34, 54% + 260
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
