The Chicago Cubs are 7-3 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 3-7 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Hunter Brown. Shota Imanaga has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hunter Brown has a 15% chance of a QS. If Shota Imanaga has a quality start the Cubs has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 63%. In Hunter Brown quality starts the Astros win 70%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Shota Imanaga who averaged 3.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Hunter Brown who averaged 3.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-7, 30% -479 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 213 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-14, 30% -951 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-3, 70% 189 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-7, 22% -572 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 158 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Hunter Brown Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 3-0, 100% 228 | Chicago Cubs |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 56-30, 65% 1930 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% 100 | Houston Astros |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 3-0, 100% 176 | VS Houston Astros | 0-3, 0% -300 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 48-48, 50% -419 | vs Team Under .500 | 45-28, 62% 619 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 26-17, 60% -57 | Record as Home Underdog | 14-13, 52% 347 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Hunter Brown Starts | 15-15, 50% -440 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 0-0 No Games | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-3, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-42, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Brown STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shota Imanaga STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-5, 50% +141 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-6, 40% -227 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 41-45, 48% -1030 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 46-35, 57% +401
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-5, 50% -54 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-3, 70% +106 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 41-45, 48% -1458 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 44-37, 54% -370
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Houston Astros Road Games: 39-34, 53% + 160 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 35-39, 47% -790
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