The Los Angeles Dodgers are 4-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 4-5 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Patrick Corbin has a 14% chance of a QS and James Paxton a 19% chance. If Patrick Corbin has a quality start the Nationals has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 40%. If James Paxton has a quality start the Dodgers has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.8 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 82%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Patrick Corbin who averaged 2.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is James Paxton who averaged 3.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 77% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-3, 57% -63 | Record at Home | 4-5, 44% 81 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-2, 33% -163 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-1, 67% 395 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-4, 69% 41 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% 203 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-3, 57% -63 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-4, 50% 181 | Washington Nationals |
| When James Paxton Starts | 2-1, 67% 23 | When Patrick Corbin Starts | 1-3, 25% -151 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 47-35, 57% 224 | Record at Home | 34-47, 42% -194 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Washington Nationals | 4-2, 67% -25 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-4, 33% -12 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 48-26, 65% 44 | vs Team .500 or Better | 39-63, 38% 512 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 33-29, 53% -709 | Record as Home Underdog | 27-45, 38% -542 | Washington Nationals |
| When James Paxton Starts | 7-10, 41% -301 | When Patrick Corbin Starts | 15-17, 47% 762 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-4, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 2-5, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-3, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-5, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 48-26, 65% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN James Paxton STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-3, 57% -42 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-2, 78% +439 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 43-39, 52% +281 Washington Nationals Home Games: 42-39, 52% +225
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-2, 71% +135 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -256 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 38-44, 46% -1479 Washington Nationals Home Games: 51-30, 63% +492
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 32-33, 49% -430 Washington Nationals Home Games: 37-31, 54% + 290
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