The Atlanta Braves are 7-3 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 4-7 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Trevor Rogers. Max Fried has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 19% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Braves has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 80%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 48%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Max Fried who averaged 3.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 73% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 86% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Trevor Rogers who averaged 2.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 59% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 35% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -172 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 49 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-3, 25% -134 | VS Miami Marlins | 3-1, 75% 71 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-11, 27% -522 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-2, 83% 387 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-7, 36% -172 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-3, 70% 49 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | When Max Fried Starts | 4-0, 100% 246 | Atlanta Braves |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-44, 47% -255 | Record at Home | 53-30, 64% -243 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 4-9, 31% -344 | VS Miami Marlins | 9-4, 69% 185 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 38-52, 42% -891 | vs Team .500 or Better | 56-36, 61% -31 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-37, 38% -639 | Record As Home Favorite | 53-30, 64% -243 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 1-3, 25% -231 | When Max Fried Starts | 12-3, 80% 360 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-46, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 48-30, 62% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-4, 64% +328 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-4, 60% +41 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 42-41, 51% -501 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 42-41, 51% -1047
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-4, 64% +18 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-4, 60% -83 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 52-31, 63% +493 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 53-30, 64% -185
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 32-39, 45% -1090 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 37-33, 53% + 70
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