The San Francisco Giants are 6-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 6-4 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Logan Webb is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Luis Severino. Logan Webb has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Severino has a 32% chance of a QS. If Logan Webb has a quality start the Giants has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 63%. In Luis Severino quality starts the Mets win 63%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Logan Webb who averaged 3.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Luis Severino who averaged 3.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 447 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -62 | New York Mets |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 85 | San Francisco Giants |
| vs Team Under .500 | 0-1, 0% -100 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -239 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-4, 60% 447 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -164 | New York Mets |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 2-2, 50% -55 | When Logan Webb Starts | 3-2, 60% 1 | San Francisco Giants |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| New York Mets | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-48, 41% -1809 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% -94 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 4-3, 57% 17 | VS New York Mets | 3-4, 43% -141 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 30-30, 50% -925 | vs Team Under .500 | 33-28, 54% -382 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-32, 30% -1557 | Record As Home Favorite | 29-24, 55% -571 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 8-9, 47% -140 | When Logan Webb Starts | 14-19, 42% -839 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-38, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-49, 39% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Logan Webb STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-5, 50% +247 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 7-4, 64% +326 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 44-37, 54% +657 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 44-37, 54% +159
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-5, 50% -122 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 7-4, 64% +142 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 48-33, 59% +40 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 44-37, 54% -387
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 2-7, 22% -570 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Mets Road Games: 36-28, 56% + 520 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 30-47, 39% -2170
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
