The Cincinnati Reds are 7-6 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 5-2 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Andrew Abbott has a 34% chance of a QS and Cristopher Sanchez a 30% chance. If Andrew Abbott has a quality start the Reds has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 49%. If Cristopher Sanchez has a quality start the Phillies has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Andrew Abbott who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Cristopher Sanchez who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-2, 71% 172 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -64 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 2-2, 50% -44 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-2, 50% 74 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% 9 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-9, 31% -444 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-2, 67% 78 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% -7 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 1-3, 25% -256 | When Andrew Abbott Starts | 2-2, 50% -15 | Cincinnati Reds |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-43, 50% -424 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -87 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 4-3, 57% -59 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 3-4, 43% -57 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 55-48, 53% 184 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-47, 47% 414 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 28-23, 55% -251 | Record as Home Underdog | 26-28, 48% 390 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 8-12, 40% -657 | When Andrew Abbott Starts | 12-7, 63% 476 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 0-7, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-5, 58% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 0-7, 0% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-43, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cristopher Sanchez STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Abbott STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-2, 71% -200 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 9-4, 69% +369 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 40-46, 47% -1325 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 36-45, 44% -714
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-2, 71% +172 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 10-3, 77% +550 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 43-43, 50% -932 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 42-39, 52% -502
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 36-42, 46% -1020 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 41-36, 53% + 140
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