The Kansas City Royals are 9-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 7-7 on the road this season. The Royals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Michael Wacha is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. Michael Wacha has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kevin Gausman has a 45% chance of a QS. If Michael Wacha has a quality start the Royals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 60%. In Kevin Gausman quality starts the Blue Jays win 63%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Salvador Perez who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Turner who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 41 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 279 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 1-0, 100% 85 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-1, 0% -100 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-7, 59% 275 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-7, 30% -296 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-0, 100% 167 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-4, 56% 141 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 1-3, 25% -218 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 1-3, 25% -252 | Toronto Blue Jays |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 46-37, 55% 226 | Record at Home | 33-48, 41% -654 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 6-1, 86% 184 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-6, 14% -494 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 46-23, 67% 818 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-60, 29% -1804 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 27-21, 56% -215 | Record as Home Underdog | 27-35, 44% 153 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 17-17, 50% -738 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 17-10, 63% 195 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-42, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-35, 55% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 4-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-10, 29% -601 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 9-5, 64% +224 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 44-39, 53% -28 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 46-35, 57% +1295
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-8, 43% -361 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 8-6, 57% +24 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 44-39, 53% -236 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 48-33, 59% +461
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 37-30, 55% + 400 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 36-35, 51% -250
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